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Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $310.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson
48.5¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova
51.5¢
Clara Tauson
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection63Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets82Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:138 trades$754.6K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ekaterina Alexandrova · $530.1K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$644.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$223.6K@ 56¢·Djdjdjekekek

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Ekaterina Alexandrova SETUP
What the tape says

Ekaterina Alexandrova pressure: $474.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$474.6K
6h
+$478.8K
tracked
$754.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: Ekaterina Alexandrova · $530.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 82

Since latest whale follow through: -10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ekaterina Alexandrova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Clara Tauson in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Clara Tauson. This market will resolve to 'Clara Tauson' if Clara Tauson advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova29m ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova@ 59.0¢38m ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Clara Tauson@ 42.0¢38m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Ekaterina Alexandrova@ 54.0¢50m ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp
Latest book event: Ekaterina Alexandrova DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $41.7K → $21.1K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova; negative values favor Clara Tauson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEkaterina Alexandrova · $474.6K
6hEkaterina Alexandrova · $478.8K
24hEkaterina Alexandrova · $480.4K

Ekaterina Alexandrova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ekaterina Alexandrova price. Clara Tauson fills are converted to the complementary Ekaterina Alexandrova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h55.8¢▼ below by 7.3pp
VWAP 7d55.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ekaterina Alexandrova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$24
60¢
$19.3K
55¢
$648.7K
50¢
$34.4K
45¢
← now
$52.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYClara Tauson$48.4K@ 44.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$11.1K@ 57.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$72.7K@ 56.7¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$10.4K@ 55.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$207.1K@ 56.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$223.6K@ 55.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$25.0K@ 53.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEkaterina Alexandrova$25.2K@ 49.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYClara Tauson$13.2K@ 51.0¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekEkaterina Alexandrova$460.3K
BUY VWAP 56.1¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563Ekaterina Alexandrova$119.3K
BUY VWAP 54.8¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Clara Tauson$48.4K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
DonghuiClara Tauson$13.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
RN1Clara Tauson$12.2K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·5 fills
tradecraftClara Tauson$10.6K
BUY VWAP 44.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.