Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?

● quote just now
SportsCloses: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $938.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $496.0KEvent: FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club
79.5¢
YES
20.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction11wallets67execution93priority62data 87%💡 2 smart
24h sample:207 trades$228.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $8.2K net·2 wallets·$8.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$16.1K@ 80¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW YES SETUP
What the tape says

YES pressure: $25.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.5K
6h
+$142.8K
tracked
$228.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: YES · $8.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 62

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Less than 14h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-27 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 27, 2026 If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
purplegatto2 linked markets · $45.5K gross
x55x2 linked markets · $15.9K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $4.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY YES@ 80.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 79.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 79.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY YES@ 79.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $25.5K
6hYES · $142.8K
24hYES · $188.3K

YES price VWAP

Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h78.3¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d78.1¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$25.6K
75¢
← now
$203.2K
70¢
$11.8K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYES$16.1K@ 80.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋3 minutes ago
BUYNO$15.9K@ 24.0¢
x55x0x516c…3d58
🐋about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooYes$114.4K
BUY VWAP 78.3¢·101 fills
purplegattoYes$33.5K
BUY VWAP 78.3¢·39 fills
x55xNo$15.9K
BUY VWAP 24.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.