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US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina

Sports→Settlement: Federico CinaLiquidity: $62.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $258.2KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina
0.0¢
Luca Nardi payout
100.0¢
Federico Cina payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:64 trades$77.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 464 min agoofficial metadata 442 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Federico Cina · $14.7K net·9 wallets·$16.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFederico Cina$17.0K@ 84¢·007theone1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Federico Cina. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Federico Cina in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Federico Cina. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Luca Nardi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Federico Cina10h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Federico Cina@ 80.0¢10h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Luca Nardi DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $409 → $1.7K · 74s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luca Nardi; negative values favor Federico Cina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuca Nardi · $1.6K
6hFederico Cina · $21.8K
24hFederico Cina · $21.8K

Luca Nardi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luca Nardi price. Federico Cina fills are converted to the complementary Luca Nardi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.4¢▼ below by 13.4pp
VWAP 7d13.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Luca Nardi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.1K
20¢
$2.7K
15¢
$32.6K
10¢
$21.0K
5¢
$10.3K
0¢
← now
$6.1K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFederico Cina$17.0K@ 84.3¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

007theone1Federico Cina$20.3K
BUY VWAP 90.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.