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Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $423.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $140.7KEvent: Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC - More Markets
41.5¢
Manchester City FC
58.5¢
Coventry City FC
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$71.1K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Coventry City FC · $33.6K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$33.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCoventry City FC$28.1K@ 55¢·Jsram

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Coventry City FC pressure: $7.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.2K
6h
−$66.7K
tracked
$71.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Coventry City FC · $33.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 53 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Coventry City FC or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coventry City FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coventry City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Jsram2 linked markets · $56.0K gross
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $48.7K gross
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $30.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Coventry City FC@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Coventry City FC@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Manchester City FC; negative values favor Coventry City FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoventry City FC · $7.2K
6hCoventry City FC · $66.7K
24hCoventry City FC · $66.7K

Manchester City FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Manchester City FC price. Coventry City FC fills are converted to the complementary Manchester City FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h44.6¢▼ below by 3.1pp
VWAP 7d44.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Manchester City FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$49.8K
40¢
← now
$21.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCoventry City FC$10.2K@ 56.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCoventry City FC$28.1K@ 55.0¢
Jsram0x8372…5223
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5
98.0¢$251.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5
50.5¢$227.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
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LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner
0.1¢$1.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
57.8¢$1.3Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
54.5¢$1.1Mpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JsramCoventry City FC$35.3K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cCoventry City FC$19.5K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Coventry City FC$14.1K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.