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UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Michael PageLiquidity: $230.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $538.6KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)
100.0¢
Michael Page payout
0.0¢
Nursulton Ruziboev payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nursulton Ruziboev · $40.1K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$47.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichael Page$25.6K@ 65¢·AV23IUa

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Michael Page. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Michael Page" if Michael Page is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nursulton Ruziboev at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Nursulton Ruziboev" if Nursulton Ruziboev is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Michael Page" if Michael Page is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nursulton Ruziboev at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Nursulton Ruziboev" if Nursulton Ruziboev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nursulton Ruziboev@ 62.0¢5d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Nursulton Ruziboev@ 35.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Michael Page@ 66.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michael Page; negative values favor Nursulton Ruziboev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNursulton Ruziboev · $48.2K
6hNursulton Ruziboev · $67.3K
24hNursulton Ruziboev · $41.1K

Michael Page price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michael Page price. Nursulton Ruziboev fills are converted to the complementary Michael Page probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.3¢▲ above by 33.7pp
VWAP 7d66.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michael Page price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.4K
90¢
$162
85¢
$93
80¢
$2.7K
75¢
$759
70¢
$1.8K
65¢
$127.8K
60¢
$15.7K
55¢
$619
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$28
40¢
$3.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNursulton Ruziboev$16.9K@ 35.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—5 days ago
BUYNursulton Ruziboev$10.9K@ 35.0¢
WordleAddict0xe25b…0f1b
🐋—5 days ago
BUYNursulton Ruziboev$17.5K@ 35.0¢
dromedaryy0x6575…b198
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMichael Page$25.6K@ 65.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMichael Page$10.5K@ 62.8¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaMichael Page$25.6K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
matanovikNursulton Ruziboev$21.7K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·4 fills
dromedaryyNursulton Ruziboev$17.5K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Nursulton Ruziboev$16.9K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
WordleAddictNursulton Ruziboev$10.9K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
Elaran1993Michael Page$10.5K
BUY VWAP 62.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.