PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $366.9KEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
33.5¢
YES
66.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%
24h sample:59 trades$137.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$40.0K@ 76¢·tony1919

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$7.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.5K
6h
−$30.0K
tracked
$137.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 26 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Spirit@ 73.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$7.5K
6h−$30.0K
24h−$31.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h29.4¢▲ above by 4.1pp
VWAP 7d29.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
← now
$81.1K
25¢
$15.2K
20¢
$40.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$13.2K@ 33.0¢0x0344…f4db🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$40.0K@ 75.9¢
tony19190x733b…7260
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$416.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$411.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$402.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢$314.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
36.5¢$287.1Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
97.9¢$251.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
39.5¢$233.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tony1919Team Spirit$40.0K
BUY VWAP 75.9¢·1 fill
0x0344…f4dbTeam Yandex$13.2K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·1 fill
CORGI8Team Yandex$10.9K
BUY VWAP 33.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.