UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

● quote just now

Sports→Closes: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $255.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $287.1KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)

36.5¢

YES

63.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:31 trades$114.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 43s ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJackson McVey (NO)$53.1K@ 63¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$18.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$18.7K

−$45.5K

tracked

$114.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$19.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 54

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-23 03:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Wes Schultz" if Wes Schultz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jackson McVey at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Jackson McVey" if Jackson McVey is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Jackson McVey@ 64.0¢30m ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Jackson McVey@ 64.0¢33m ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Jackson McVey@ 63.0¢39m ago

15m STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$18.7K

6h−$45.5K

24h−$45.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current36.5¢

VWAP 24h37.3¢▼ below by 0.8pp

VWAP 7d37.3¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢