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Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $386.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D
46.0¢
Alliance payout
54.0¢
Phantom Academy payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:153 trades$1.1M tracked4% 🐋source coverage 68%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 664 min agoofficial metadata 416 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alliance · $770.1K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$873.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPhantom Academy$740.3K@ 100¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-24 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Phantom Academy.

•This market will resolve to " Phantom Academy" if Phantom Academy win the match against Alliance.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Alliance and Phantom Academy in the United21 Group D, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Phantom Academy. This market will resolve to " Phantom Academy" if Phantom Academy win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Phantom Academy12h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alliance13h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alliance13h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alliance13h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Alliance DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $72 → $49 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alliance; negative values favor Phantom Academy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlliance · $0
6hAlliance · $899.5K
24hAlliance · $1.0M

Alliance price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alliance price. Phantom Academy fills are converted to the complementary Alliance probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.0¢
VWAP 24h18.3¢▲ above by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d18.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alliance price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$38
70¢
$3.4K
65¢
$13.4K
60¢
$232.4K
55¢
$226
50¢
$2.6K
45¢
← now
$293
40¢
$124.6K
35¢
$94
30¢
$87
25¢
$216
20¢
$753
15¢
$549
10¢
$6
5¢
$5.2K
0¢
$755.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPhantom Academy$740.3K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYAlliance$61.2K@ 61.6¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAlliance$124.4K@ 62.5¢
S-Works0xee00…cea1
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYPhantom Academy$40.1K@ 40.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAlliance$11.8K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYAlliance$117.1K@ 40.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

S-WorksAlliance$124.4K
BUY VWAP 62.5¢·1 fill
111111111115Alliance$117.1K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Alliance$76.4K
BUY VWAP 62.5¢·3 fills
DjdjdjekekekPhantom Academy$46.6K
BUY VWAP 41.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.