PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote 5 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $159.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $188.8KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
99.9¢
Chicago Cubs
0.4¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$82.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $31.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$31.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$12.7K@ 77¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Chicago Cubs pressure: $9.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.6K
6h
+$36.9K
tracked
$82.3K

4 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $31.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 18.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago Cubs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 24 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5e94…5ba12 linked markets · $35.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago Cubs1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 82.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $47.3K → $93 · 35s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $9.6K
6hChicago Cubs · $36.9K
24hChicago Cubs · $33.7K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h70.3¢▲ above by 29.5pp
VWAP 7d70.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$12.7K@ 77.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$10.8K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
39.5¢$527.8Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$404.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
52.5¢$360.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$283.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.8¢$230.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics
100.0¢$191.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.9¢$188.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Chicago Cubs$23.5K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.