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Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $451.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $191.1KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics
100.0¢
Minnesota Twins
0.1¢
Athletics
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:74 trades$110.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 42s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Athletics · $5.8K net·7 wallets·$10.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMinnesota Twins$58.0K@ 58¢·AV23IUa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Minnesota Twins pressure: $38.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$38.9K
6h
+$94.7K
tracked
$110.1K

7 verified profitable wallets: Athletics · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +42.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 42.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Minnesota Twins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Athletics, scheduled for August 24 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $38.4K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $27.7K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $17.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Minnesota Twins3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Minnesota Twins@ 58.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +6.0pp
Latest book event: Athletics DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $10 → $170 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Minnesota Twins; negative values favor Athletics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota Twins · $38.9K
6hMinnesota Twins · $94.7K
24hMinnesota Twins · $89.2K

Minnesota Twins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Minnesota Twins price. Athletics fills are converted to the complementary Minnesota Twins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.7¢▲ above by 26.2pp
VWAP 7d73.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Minnesota Twins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$40.6K
90¢
$1
85¢
$39
80¢
$579
75¢
$101
70¢
$521
65¢
$145
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$65.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMinnesota Twins$30.5K@ 99.9¢
wowfarm0x2ada…2f28
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$58.0K@ 58.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaMinnesota Twins$58.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
wowfarmMinnesota Twins$30.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.