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Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)

Geopolitics→Settlement: FilsLiquidity: $155.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $27.4KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils
100.0¢
Fils payout
0.0¢
Tirante payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFils$9.0K@ 51¢·0xwise

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Fils. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-28 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Fils" if Arthur Fils wins by 2 or more sets than Thiago Agustin Tirante, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tirante."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fils" if Arthur Fils wins by 2 or more sets than Thiago Agustin Tirante, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tirante." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Tantula2 linked markets · $6.8K gross
Teslaleps2 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fils; negative values favor Tirante. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTirante · $5.3K
6hFils · $9.0K
24hFils · $9.0K

Fils price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fils price. Tirante fills are converted to the complementary Fils probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.2¢▲ above by 40.8pp
VWAP 7d59.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fils price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$10
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$15.1K
45¢
$7.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xwiseFils$11.1K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.