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Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants

Sports→Settlement: San Francisco GiantsLiquidity: $236.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $149.5KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
0.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
100.0¢
San Francisco Giants payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:43 trades$60.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Francisco Giants · $5.5K net·3 wallets·$5.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants$23.5K@ 72¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome San Francisco Giants. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-02 01:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 25 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $3.3K gross
0x40e9…494f2 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Francisco Giants@ 76.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp
Latest book event: San Francisco Giants DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $36.1K → $150 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $16
6hSan Francisco Giants · $41.1K
24hSan Francisco Giants · $52.1K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.8¢▼ below by 36.8pp
VWAP 7d36.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$6.8K
45¢
$19.4K
40¢
$121
35¢
$1.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$26.5K
20¢
$5.9K
15¢
$133
10¢
$311
5¢
$3
0¢
← now
$61

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Francisco Giants$23.5K@ 72.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$10.5K@ 51.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSan Francisco Giants$29.8K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·2 fills
AV23IUaSan Francisco Giants$10.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.