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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: Pittsburgh PiratesLiquidity: $217.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $555.6KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres
100.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates payout
0.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:132 trades$251.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $25.6K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$76.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$55.0K@ 56¢·NiNo999

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pittsburgh Pirates. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-02 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 25 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 56.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY San Diego Padres@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY San Diego Padres@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $588 → $1 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $342
6hSan Diego Padres · $132.3K
24hSan Diego Padres · $140.6K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.1¢▲ above by 52.9pp
VWAP 7d47.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$367
85¢
$0
80¢
$14.8K
75¢
$1
70¢
$7.0K
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$57.2K
40¢
$157.3K
35¢
$10.2K
30¢
$99
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$11.9K@ 60.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$55.0K@ 56.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$25.0K@ 56.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$25.0K@ 55.9¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999San Diego Padres$55.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
KosherlocksSan Diego Padres$50.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cSan Diego Padres$18.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSan Diego Padres$17.8K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·5 fills
JeffplatterPittsburgh Pirates$10.3K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.