PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 44 minutesLiquidity: $73.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $100.1KEvent: LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution95Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$49.7K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 123 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSK Gaming (NO)$20.0K@ 100¢·sofa88888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$40.6K
tracked
$49.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$3.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 123 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI wins 2 or more games than SK Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "SK Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $40.0K gross
verifly2 linked markets · $32.0K gross
Jer-Predict3 linked markets · $14.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$40.6K
24h+$43.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h27.8¢▼ below by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d27.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$18.5K
50¢
$6.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$24.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLSK Gaming (NO)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
sofa888880xa103…1c14
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMovistar KOI (YES)$12.1K@ 56.0¢
verifly0x5286…0d47
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$412.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢$314.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$417.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$402.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)
0.1¢$376.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
32.5¢$373.4Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢$318.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

veriflyMovistar KOI$16.5K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.