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Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik

Geopolitics→Settlement: Thiago Agustin TiranteLiquidity: $373.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $402.4KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik
100.0¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante payout
0.0¢
Jakub Mensik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jakub Mensik · $13.1K net·7 wallets·$21.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJakub Mensik$20.4K@ 67¢·DonaldinhoTrumpito

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Agustin Tirante. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jakub Mensik in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Jakub Mensik@ 68.0¢5d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante; negative values favor Jakub Mensik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJakub Mensik · $13.1K
6hJakub Mensik · $37.1K
24hJakub Mensik · $57.6K

Thiago Agustin Tirante price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Agustin Tirante price. Jakub Mensik fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Agustin Tirante probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.7¢▲ above by 45.3pp
VWAP 7d53.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Agustin Tirante price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.2K
90¢
$2.5K
85¢
$4.0K
80¢
$2.8K
75¢
$5.0K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$143
50¢
$11.5K
45¢
$10.8K
40¢
$4.3K
35¢
$14.1K
30¢
$39.3K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$84
15¢
$5.6K
10¢
$3.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJakub Mensik$10.0K@ 48.9¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago
BUYJakub Mensik$20.4K@ 67.0¢
DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DonaldinhoTrumpitoJakub Mensik$20.4K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Jakub Mensik$10.0K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.