PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?

Crypto→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $84.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $332.6KEvent: Bitcoin above ___ on August 21?
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:99 trades$135.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 116 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$16.1K@ 100¢·0x239a…a949

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Tttyh3 linked markets · $149.2K gross
shabbysalta2 linked markets · $77.3K gross
0x0a3b…b8b12 linked markets · $44.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$70.7K
24h+$97.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h98.5¢▲ above by 1.5pp
VWAP 7d95.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$125.1K
90¢
$6.4K
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$2.1K
75¢
$17
70¢
$172
65¢
$400
60¢
$0
55¢
$11
50¢
$23
45¢
$641
40¢
$2.9K
35¢
$3.2K
30¢
$3
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$24
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYES$16.1K@ 99.9¢0x239a…a949🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYYES$10.2K@ 99.9¢0xb3aa…7c68🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYYES$10.1K@ 99.9¢0x6a17…e7e9🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
60.3¢$406.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
1.4¢$397.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
37.2¢$285.7Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
11.5¢$264.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
4.8¢$228.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
20.3¢$222.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
10.0¢$152.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
1.7¢$143.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf705…3ca7Yes$17.4K
BUY VWAP 96.3¢·7 fills
0x239a…a949Yes$16.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x3953…1353Yes$11.0K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·2 fills
0xb3aa…7c68Yes$10.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x6a17…e7e9Yes$10.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.