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Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

● quote 243 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $658.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $876.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
3.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly51Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:142 trades$342.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 273 min agoofficial metadata 238 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality (NO)$38.9K@ 62¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$5.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.1K
6h
+$7.8K
tracked
$342.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$127 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 243 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 273 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 238 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-20 19:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between FaZe and Vitality in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FaZe" if FaZe win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against FaZe. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5901…63a22 linked markets · $60.9K gross
Lakersfan1112 linked markets · $53.7K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $44.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Vitality@ 44.0¢6h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY FaZe@ 57.0¢6h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 59.0¢7h ago
15m CONFIRMED +26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY FaZe@ 41.0¢7h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.9K → $3.0K · 13s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$5.1K
6h+$7.8K
24h+$7.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h33.3¢▼ below by 30.3pp
VWAP 7d33.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$165.9K
35¢
$109.5K
30¢
$304
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$4.9K
15¢
$5.6K
10¢
$2.1K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$50.5K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLVitality (NO)$33.9K@ 99.9¢0x5901…63a2🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFaZe (YES)$23.0K@ 41.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYVitality (NO)$14.4K@ 59.0¢0x65c1…2988🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYVitality (NO)$20.0K@ 59.0¢0x5901…63a2🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYFaZe (YES)$16.7K@ 40.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYVitality (NO)$15.3K@ 61.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYVitality (NO)$38.9K@ 62.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Vitality$48.6K
BUY VWAP 61.8¢·2 fills
111111111115FaZe$43.3K
BUY VWAP 40.2¢·3 fills
skyman44Vitality$21.1K
BUY VWAP 60.4¢·2 fills
0x5901…63a2Vitality$20.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
0x65c1…2988Vitality$14.4K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
0xd202…8973FaZe$13.9K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.