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Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)

Sports→Settlement: Portland FireLiquidity: $93.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $91.8KEvent: Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury
0.0¢
Phoenix Mercury payout
100.0¢
Portland Fire payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhoenix Mercury$6.4K@ 51¢·winwin518168

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Portland Fire. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury" if the Phoenix Mercury win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 16 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Phoenix Mercury" if the Phoenix Mercury win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x7c1b…85c82 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Phoenix Mercury; negative values favor Portland Fire. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhoenix Mercury · $1.5K
6hPhoenix Mercury · $3.4K
24hPortland Fire · $1.8K

Phoenix Mercury price VWAP

Volume-weighted Phoenix Mercury price. Portland Fire fills are converted to the complementary Phoenix Mercury probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.7¢▼ below by 47.7pp
VWAP 7d47.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Phoenix Mercury price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$224
50¢
$16.2K
45¢
$9.1K
40¢
$80
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.6K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.