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LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $709.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.0MEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:400 trades$831.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 595 min agoofficial metadata 555 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$6.7K·19 wallets(4🐋)·$241.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDplus KIA (YES)$37.3K@ 100¢·hurrican

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Dplus KIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h3 linked markets · $152.5K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $96.3K gross
1111111111153 linked markets · $82.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Dplus KIA@ 60.0¢12h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 41.0¢12h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Gen.G@ 81.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 82.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.2K → $2.3K · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$2.9K
6h−$102.6K
24h−$85.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.9¢▲ above by 34.1pp
VWAP 7d65.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$252.5K
90¢
$22.8K
85¢
$23.6K
80¢
$49.6K
75¢
$62.7K
70¢
$8.6K
65¢
$37.4K
60¢
$29.2K
55¢
$3.4K
50¢
$8.6K
45¢
$2.0K
40¢
$69.6K
35¢
$147.4K
30¢
$88.8K
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$22.6K
15¢
$26.6K
10¢
$23
5¢
$47
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDplus KIA (YES)$30.3K@ 99.9¢
sofa888880xa103…1c14
🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLDplus KIA (YES)$20.0K@ 99.9¢
urobang0xf485…03ae
🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLDplus KIA (YES)$37.3K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 12 hours ago
SELLDplus KIA (YES)$10.6K@ 99.9¢
0x8d835987590x8d83…d89c
🐋—about 12 hours ago
SELLDplus KIA (YES)$27.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$19.2K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$30.8K@ 80.7¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$22.1K@ 85.3¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$10.8K@ 78.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$14.3K@ 62.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$10.4K@ 58.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$15.9K@ 42.5¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$11.7K@ 79.0¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$13.3K@ 67.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$12.0K@ 36.6¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$10.0K@ 66.0¢
lckkingggg0xb487…86d7
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$20.0K@ 35.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$25.1K@ 34.0¢
pmesport0xef4b…2577
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYGen.G (NO)$12.8K@ 67.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaDplus KIA$40.2K
BUY VWAP 29.2¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Dplus KIA$36.4K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·3 fills
fkcvffcjtDplus KIA$31.0K
BUY VWAP 76.7¢·4 fills
0xb70c…34caDplus KIA$27.6K
BUY VWAP 84.6¢·2 fills
pmesportDplus KIA$25.1K
BUY VWAP 34.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Gen.G$22.6K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·3 fills
5e46hDplus KIA$19.2K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Gen.G$18.2K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·3 fills
TAIWANNUMBERONEGen.G$16.3K
BUY VWAP 67.1¢·2 fills
0xb70c…34caGen.G$16.1K
BUY VWAP 80.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.