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LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: EDward GamingLiquidity: $729.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢
EDward Gaming payout
0.0¢
ThunderTalk Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:EDward Gaming · $18.6K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$53.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEDward Gaming$44.8K@ 100¢·JaJa888

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome EDward Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against EDward Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against EDward Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 21, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 28, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JaJa8882 linked markets · $138.5K gross
TeGeeLP2 linked markets · $79.8K gross
alexdinner2 linked markets · $39.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY EDward Gaming@ 55.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY EDward Gaming@ 29.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY EDward Gaming@ 56.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY EDward Gaming@ 56.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor EDward Gaming; negative values favor ThunderTalk Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunderTalk Gaming · $5.6K
6hThunderTalk Gaming · $55.4K
24hThunderTalk Gaming · $59.8K

EDward Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted EDward Gaming price. ThunderTalk Gaming fills are converted to the complementary EDward Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h76.7¢▲ above by 23.3pp
VWAP 7d76.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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EDward Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$206.6K
90¢
$33.4K
85¢
$10.7K
80¢
$30.7K
75¢
$3.3K
70¢
$1.7K
65¢
$112
60¢
$8.6K
55¢
$5.5K
50¢
$80.3K
45¢
$28.7K
40¢
$2.5K
35¢
$4.5K
30¢
$3.9K
25¢
$15.1K
20¢
$4.4K
15¢
$3.8K
10¢
$10.6K
5¢
$1.3K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEDward Gaming$44.8K@ 99.9¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—3 days ago
SELLEDward Gaming$13.0K@ 99.9¢
apartpart0x96fe…e78c
🐋—3 days ago
SELLEDward Gaming$36.7K@ 99.9¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—3 days ago
SELLEDward Gaming$16.9K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—3 days ago
SELLEDward Gaming$10.1K@ 99.9¢
geiyecapixie0xcae6…4f85
🐋—3 days ago
BUYEDward Gaming$15.6K@ 96.4¢0xb70c…34ca🐋—3 days ago
BUYEDward Gaming$18.0K@ 90.0¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—3 days ago
BUYEDward Gaming$25.8K@ 52.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—3 days ago
BUYEDward Gaming$25.8K@ 51.8¢
TeGeeLP0xe100…4d41
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JaJa888EDward Gaming$39.9K
BUY VWAP 84.4¢·6 fills
TeGeeLPEDward Gaming$27.0K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·2 fills
zb8EDward Gaming$25.8K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
111111111115ThunderTalk Gaming$16.9K
BUY VWAP 59.5¢·8 fills
0xb70c…34caEDward Gaming$15.6K
BUY VWAP 96.4¢·1 fill
geiyecapixieEDward Gaming$11.9K
BUY VWAP 85.3¢·7 fills
Lucas1tbEDward Gaming$11.5K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.