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Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski

Geopolitics→Settlement: Thiago Agustin TiranteLiquidity: $267.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $649.7KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski
100.0¢
Thiago Agustin Tirante payout
0.0¢
Jan Choinski payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThiago Agustin Tirante$24.0K@ 100¢·0x6982…a165

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Thiago Agustin Tirante. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-20 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jan Choinski in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Jan Choinski. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Agustin Tirante@ 68.0¢13d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +14.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Agustin Tirante; negative values favor Jan Choinski. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJan Choinski · $19.9K
6hJan Choinski · $25.3K
24hJan Choinski · $28.5K

Thiago Agustin Tirante price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Agustin Tirante price. Jan Choinski fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Agustin Tirante probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h63.4¢▲ above by 36.6pp
VWAP 7d63.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Agustin Tirante price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$39.8K
90¢
$32
85¢
$23.3K
80¢
$6.4K
75¢
$5.5K
70¢
$15.4K
65¢
$17.6K
60¢
$15.3K
55¢
$5.9K
50¢
$7.3K
45¢
$23.7K
40¢
$6.3K
35¢
$1.9K
30¢
$3.5K
25¢
$3.8K
20¢
$12.1K
15¢
$12.3K
10¢
$6.2K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLThiago Agustin Tirante$24.0K@ 99.9¢0x6982…a165🐋—13 days ago
BUYThiago Agustin Tirante$10.8K@ 45.0¢0x6982…a165🐋—13 days ago
BUYJan Choinski$12.3K@ 82.0¢
acc12110xd6d9…2c2f
🐋—13 days ago
BUYJan Choinski$11.0K@ 12.8¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—13 days ago
BUYThiago Agustin Tirante$15.0K@ 70.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—13 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.