Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Elizabeth Mandlik

● quote 1288 min ago
CryptoCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $327.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.0KEvent: Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Elizabeth Mandlik
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$43.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1310 min agoofficial metadata 1280 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$17.9K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$17.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOksana Selekhmeteva (YES)$15.3K@ 38¢·RN1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$20.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.8K
6h
+$16.1K
tracked
$43.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$17.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 1288 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1310 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 1280 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-18 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Oksana Selekhmeteva and Elizabeth Mandlik in the Cincinnati Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Oksana Selekhmeteva' if Oksana Selekhmeteva advances against Elizabeth Mandlik. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Mandlik' if Elizabeth Mandlik advances against Oksana Selekhmeteva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Oksana Selekhmeteva@ 98.0¢22h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $974$3.5K · 7s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$20.8K
6h+$16.1K
24h+$16.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h54.4¢▲ above by 45.6pp
VWAP 7d54.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.0K
90¢
$188
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.9K
75¢
$3.1K
70¢
$3
65¢
$331
60¢
$1
55¢
$212
50¢
$20
45¢
$0
40¢
$7.1K
35¢
$19.8K
30¢
$2.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYOksana Selekhmeteva (YES)$15.3K@ 37.9¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋about 22 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Oksana Selekhmeteva$17.7K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.