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Eagles vs. Titans

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $483.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $138.0KEvent: Eagles vs. Titans
75.5¢
Eagles
24.5¢
Titans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:19 trades$56.9K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEagles$29.9K@ 76¢·Kosherlocks

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$7
6h
+$45.3K
tracked
$56.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 25 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles".

•If Titans wins, the market will resolve to "Titans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If Titans wins, the market will resolve to "Titans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Eagles@ 76.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Eagles@ 76.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Titans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEagles · $7
6hEagles · $45.3K
24hEagles · $35.9K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Titans fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h75.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d75.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$65.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEagles$15.2K@ 76.0¢
donaldbush0x66b2…0fdf
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYEagles$29.9K@ 76.0¢
Kosherlocks0x8239…d9a3
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KosherlocksEagles$29.9K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
donaldbushEagles$15.2K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
quavooTitans$10.5K
BUY VWAP 25.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.