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Steelers vs. Patriots

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $869.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $234.5KEvent: Steelers vs. Patriots
30.5¢
Steelers
69.5¢
Patriots
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly4Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$132.8K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPatriots$61.5K@ 69¢·THEdirkdiggler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$130
6h
−$91.9K
tracked
$132.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: Steelers · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers".

•If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Patriots@ 70.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Patriots@ 69.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Steelers@ 32.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Steelers; negative values favor Patriots. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSteelers · $130
6hPatriots · $91.9K
24hPatriots · $91.9K

Steelers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Steelers price. Patriots fills are converted to the complementary Steelers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h31.1¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d31.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Steelers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$132.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPatriots$61.5K@ 69.0¢
THEdirkdiggler0x1e77…8c33
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPatriots$14.5K@ 69.0¢
BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

THEdirkdigglerPatriots$61.5K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
0xbc43…96d3Patriots$34.5K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·5 fills
0x9f15…bdb3Steelers$18.9K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·2 fills
BTCGambler247Patriots$14.5K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.