Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

● quote 31 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $974.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs B8 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:286 trades$925.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$459.0K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$459.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPARIVISION (YES)$152.5K@ 61¢·Djdjdjekekek

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$176.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$176.4K
6h
+$679.0K
tracked
$925.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$459.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -59.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 31 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 32 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 20:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between PARIVISION and B8 in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 12 at 11:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against B8. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 24h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY PARIVISION@ 60.0¢44m ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY PARIVISION@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY PARIVISION@ 61.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY PARIVISION@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $222$92 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$176.4K
6h+$679.0K
24h+$682.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h47.9¢▼ below by 47.8pp
VWAP 7d48.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$6.6K
80¢
$1.9K
75¢
$3.5K
70¢
$2.6K
65¢
$10.2K
60¢
$482.9K
55¢
$198.0K
50¢
$13.9K
45¢
$20.1K
40¢
$10.3K
35¢
$3.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$5.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$5.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$191.5K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLB8 (NO)$16.0K@ 99.9¢0x336b…1233🐋34 minutes ago
SELLB8 (NO)$40.4K@ 99.9¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋36 minutes ago
SELLB8 (NO)$26.9K@ 99.9¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋40 minutes ago
SELLB8 (NO)$16.0K@ 99.9¢0x336b…1233🐋40 minutes ago
SELLB8 (NO)$35.9K@ 99.9¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋about 1 hour ago
SELLB8 (NO)$11.0K@ 99.9¢
alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$11.8K@ 63.0¢0x73e3…1be9🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$11.8K@ 62.0¢0xeac2…dddc🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$11.3K@ 62.0¢0xeac2…dddc🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$10.9K@ 60.0¢0xeac2…dddc🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$46.3K@ 60.6¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$73.1K@ 61.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$152.5K@ 61.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$49.6K@ 60.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$27.0K@ 60.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$37.4K@ 59.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYPARIVISION (YES)$61.6K@ 57.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$2.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FaZe (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
0.1¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
100.0¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
26.5¢$867.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$413.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekPARIVISION$456.2K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·9 fills
0xeac2…dddcPARIVISION$51.8K
BUY VWAP 61.6¢·6 fills
BUY VWAP 44.7¢·4 fills
0x6e2c…787cPARIVISION$22.5K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·18 fills
0x73e3…1be9PARIVISION$21.2K
BUY VWAP 62.6¢·2 fills
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·17 fills
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·3 fills
0xd1a8…6427PARIVISION$15.0K
BUY VWAP 61.2¢·5 fills
BUY VWAP 43.5¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.