LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 9 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $416.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

99.9¢

YES

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly10Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:294 trades$649.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 53 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$51.2K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$61.8K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming (YES)$80.6K@ 100¢·0xe16e…bd58

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$2.0K

+$207.1K

tracked

$649.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$51.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 9 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 53 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-12 18:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

JaJa6683 linked markets · $174.9K gross

0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $122.1K gross

five51203 linked markets · $120.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 100.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 100.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 79.7¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 79.7¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.1pp · near-book depth $101 → $720 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$2.0K

6h+$207.1K

24h+$205.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h92.0¢▲ above by 8.0pp

VWAP 7d92.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$448.1K

90¢

$42.4K

85¢

$18.7K

80¢

$27.7K