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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote 538 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $238.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $663.1KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
99.9¢
YES
2.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:142 trades$210.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 555 min agoofficial metadata 531 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$20.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$28.6K@ 54¢·0x8239…d9a3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$6.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.6K
6h
+$30.3K
tracked
$210.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$20.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 538 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 555 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 531 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-22 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 15 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Milwaukee Brewers@ 60.0¢11h ago
15m INVALIDATED -27.0pp1h INVALIDATED -35.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Milwaukee Brewers11h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 70.0¢11h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +16.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 54.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$6.6K
6h+$30.3K
24h+$38.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.3¢▲ above by 35.6pp
VWAP 7d64.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.1K
90¢
$1.4K
85¢
$5.5K
80¢
$14.1K
75¢
$14.2K
70¢
$30.1K
65¢
$30.5K
60¢
$43
55¢
$0
50¢
$106.2K
45¢
$8
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$10.3K@ 77.0¢0x5268…135d🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$19.7K@ 29.5¢0x4907…dcb4🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$13.3K@ 20.0¢0x4907…dcb4🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$24.1K@ 69.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$10.0K@ 50.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$11.3K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$28.6K@ 54.0¢0x8239…d9a3🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$12.2K@ 47.0¢0xf958…db13🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$16.8K@ 54.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 22 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x8239…d9a3Milwaukee Brewers$28.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafMilwaukee Brewers$23.7K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·3 fills
SDTradingMilwaukee Brewers$16.8K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0xf958…db13Los Angeles Dodgers$14.4K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·2 fills
0x5268…135dMilwaukee Brewers$14.1K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·2 fills
0x4907…dcb4Los Angeles Dodgers$13.3K
BUY VWAP 20.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.