LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner

● quote 269 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $172.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $776.4KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

99.9¢

YES

1.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:176 trades$309.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 292 min agoofficial metadata 261 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKiwoom DRX (YES)$32.4K@ 100¢·0x53fb…7c30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$3

−$150.8K

tracked

$309.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$10.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 269 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 292 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 261 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-16 16:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 2 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 2 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

1111111111153 linked markets · $175.9K gross

0x48fe…b2b63 linked markets · $63.5K gross

0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $62.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY HANJIN BRION@ 47.0¢8h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY HANJIN BRION@ 13.0¢8h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY HANJIN BRION@ 47.0¢8h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $50 → $467 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$3

6h−$150.8K

24h−$150.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current99.9¢

VWAP 24h72.1¢▲ above by 27.8pp

VWAP 7d72.1¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

← now

$92.1K

90¢

$16.0K

85¢

$2.4K

80¢

$8.9K