LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

● quote 253 min ago
SportsCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $1.1MOfficial 24h Vol: $922.5KEvent: LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:342 trades$416.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 274 min agoofficial metadata 253 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $2.7K·2 wallets·$2.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHANJIN BRION (NO)$30.0K@ 100¢·0x48fe…b2b6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$13
6h
+$87.0K
tracked
$416.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$2.7K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 253 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 274 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 253 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-16 16:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1111111111153 linked markets · $175.9K gross
0x48fe…b2b63 linked markets · $63.5K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $62.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Kiwoom DRX@ 36.0¢8h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Kiwoom DRX@ 24.0¢8h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY HANJIN BRION@ 57.0¢8h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Kiwoom DRX@ 35.0¢8h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $15$108 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$13
6h+$87.0K
24h+$87.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h26.5¢▼ below by 26.4pp
VWAP 7d26.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$14
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$24.7K
45¢
$133.6K
40¢
$29.6K
35¢
$12.4K
30¢
$11.4K
25¢
$431
20¢
$31.9K
15¢
$1.4K
10¢
$2.9K
5¢
$29.3K
0¢
← now
$135.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHANJIN BRION (NO)$30.0K@ 99.9¢0x48fe…b2b6🐋about 7 hours ago
SELLHANJIN BRION (NO)$12.0K@ 99.9¢0xcf60…a6f5🐋about 8 hours ago
SELLHANJIN BRION (NO)$15.3K@ 99.9¢0xff80…9b4d🐋about 8 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$10.2K@ 99.0¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋about 8 hours ago
BUYKiwoom DRX (YES)$19.1K@ 50.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 9 hours ago
BUYKiwoom DRX (YES)$11.3K@ 49.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Kiwoom DRX$50.3K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·5 fills
0xf201…527eHANJIN BRION$17.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills
254321758HANJIN BRION$14.1K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·6 fills
0x48fe…b2b6HANJIN BRION$10.4K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·3 fills
backbackHANJIN BRION$10.2K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.