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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

● quote 28 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $111.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $296.1KEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
33.5¢
YES
66.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:157 trades$180.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 32 min agoofficial metadata 28 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$22.9K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$22.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$12.8K@ 64¢·zb8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$2.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.6K
6h
+$781
tracked
$180.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$22.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 68

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 28 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 32 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-15 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win Game 1 against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 1 against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SineNooneEI3 linked markets · $40.5K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $38.0K gross
TAIWANNUMBERONE2 linked markets · $30.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $4 → $1.9K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$2.6K
6h+$781
24h+$781

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.5¢
VWAP 24h58.3¢▼ below by 24.8pp
VWAP 7d58.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$16.4K
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$45.4K
60¢
$57.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$7.8K
45¢
$36.9K
40¢
$24.9K
35¢
$12.0K
30¢
← now
$13.9K
25¢
$10.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$18.0K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$20.1K
0¢
$49.4K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$12.8K@ 64.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$12.8K@ 64.0¢
Zywoo1230xc44f…d49f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKT Rolster (NO)$10.3K@ 36.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x04b1…d224KT Rolster$23.8K
BUY VWAP 75.8¢·4 fills
111111111115KT Rolster$16.3K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·2 fills
zb8Hanwha Life Esports$12.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
Zywoo123Hanwha Life Esports$12.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
SineNooneEIHanwha Life Esports$10.1K
BUY VWAP 66.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.