LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

● quote 1 min ago
SportsCloses: about 6 hoursLiquidity: $521.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $299.8KEvent: LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
73.5¢
YES
26.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection47Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:57 trades$166.4K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 56%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$88.8K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$88.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$39.3K@ 73¢·StasPanda

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$77.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$77.7K
6h
+$103.8K
tracked
$166.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$88.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 72

Since latest accumulation: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • Less than 6h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-15 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and KT Rolster in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 73.0¢24m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 73.0¢24m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 73.0¢24m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Hanwha Life Esports@ 72.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$77.7K
6h+$103.8K
24h+$102.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h71.5¢▲ above by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d71.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$144.0K
65¢
$40.7K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$22.2K@ 74.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋16 minutes ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$39.3K@ 73.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋42 minutes ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$16.4K@ 72.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$10.8K@ 71.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHanwha Life Esports (YES)$18.9K@ 71.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

StasPandaHanwha Life Esports$66.6K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·3 fills
SineNooneEIHanwha Life Esports$22.2K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
TAIWANNUMBERONEHanwha Life Esports$21.8K
BUY VWAP 70.1¢·2 fills
0x6d36…f787Hanwha Life Esports$10.4K
BUY VWAP 69.3¢·2 fills
0x9e3e…f882KT Rolster$10.0K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.