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UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Sports→Settlement: Reinier de RidderLiquidity: $576.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $337.2KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
Roman Dolidze payout
100.0¢
Reinier de Ridder payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Roman Dolidze · $11.7K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$29.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRoman Dolidze$15.5K@ 23¢·rabbitfoot1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Reinier de Ridder. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Roman Dolidze" if Roman Dolidze is officially declared the winner of the fight against Reinier de Ridder at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Reinier de Ridder" if Reinier de Ridder is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Roman Dolidze" if Roman Dolidze is officially declared the winner of the fight against Reinier de Ridder at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Reinier de Ridder" if Reinier de Ridder is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Roman Dolidze@ 23.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Roman Dolidze; negative values favor Reinier de Ridder. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRoman Dolidze · $4.9K
6hRoman Dolidze · $492
24hRoman Dolidze · $492

Roman Dolidze price VWAP

Volume-weighted Roman Dolidze price. Reinier de Ridder fills are converted to the complementary Roman Dolidze probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h16.5¢▼ below by 16.5pp
VWAP 7d16.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Roman Dolidze price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$75.2K
15¢
$7.7K
10¢
$10.8K
5¢
$2.6K
0¢
← now
$21.5K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLReinier de Ridder$13.1K@ 99.9¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—2 days ago
BUYReinier de Ridder$13.0K@ 79.7¢
GeepaP0x477f…6c45
🐋—2 days ago
BUYRoman Dolidze$15.5K@ 23.0¢
rabbitfoot10x10a6…4d8b
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

rabbitfoot1Roman Dolidze$21.9K
BUY VWAP 23.0¢·2 fills
GeepaPReinier de Ridder$13.0K
BUY VWAP 79.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.