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Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $604.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $73.5KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins
54.5¢
Boston Red Sox
45.5¢
Miami Marlins
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets54Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$26.0K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 49s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miami Marlins · $16.1K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$19.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$16.0K@ 46¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $4.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.7K
6h
−$4.1K
tracked
$26.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Miami Marlins · $16.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 42 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins, scheduled for August 24 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 47.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $4.7K
6hMiami Marlins · $4.1K
24hMiami Marlins · $22.1K

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h53.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d53.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
← now
$24.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami Marlins$16.0K@ 46.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingMiami Marlins$18.0K
BUY VWAP 45.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.