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LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $463.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢
GIANTX
0.1¢
G2 Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly16Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 26 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:352 trades$408.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:G2 Esports · $36.8K net·26 wallets(2🐋)·$142.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGIANTX$37.1K@ 100¢·verifly

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

G2 Esports pressure: $2.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.0K
6h
−$189.3K
tracked
$408.1K

26 verified profitable wallets: G2 Esports · $36.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from G2 Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against G2 Esports.

•This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against GIANTX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against GIANTX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h3 linked markets · $123.2K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $74.2K gross
verifly2 linked markets · $65.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY GIANTX@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY G2 Esports@ 95.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h INVALIDATED -25.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY G2 Esports@ 94.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY G2 Esports4h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: GIANTX DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $283 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GIANTX; negative values favor G2 Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hG2 Esports · $2.0K
6hG2 Esports · $189.3K
24hG2 Esports · $197.4K

GIANTX price VWAP

Volume-weighted GIANTX price. G2 Esports fills are converted to the complementary GIANTX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.3¢▲ above by 52.6pp
VWAP 7d47.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

GIANTX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$114.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$5.3K
80¢
$7.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$7.3K
60¢
$14.7K
55¢
$12.5K
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$61.4K
20¢
$9.6K
15¢
$111.0K
10¢
$14.7K
5¢
$34.2K
0¢
$1.7K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGIANTX$37.1K@ 99.9¢
verifly0x5286…0d47
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGIANTX$27.2K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$11.2K@ 95.0¢
WarewaPain0xdee3…6fe5
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$33.5K@ 84.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$13.3K@ 83.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYG2 Esports$34.9K@ 82.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115G2 Esports$46.7K
BUY VWAP 83.7¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563G2 Esports$43.0K
BUY VWAP 80.3¢·3 fills
5e46hGIANTX$27.2K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0xb70c…34caGIANTX$12.0K
BUY VWAP 74.8¢·2 fills
WarewaPainG2 Esports$11.4K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.