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Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $434.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $612.1KEvent: Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAthletics (NO)$100.0K@ 49¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Athletics, scheduled for August 14 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 48.0¢8d ago
15m INVALIDATED -34.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Athletics8d ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Athletics@ 47.0¢8d ago
15m CONFIRMED +30.0pp1h CONFIRMED +38.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Athletics@ 50.0¢8d ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$9.9K
6h−$22.4K
24h−$22.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.5¢▼ below by 47.5pp
VWAP 7d47.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$215.7K
45¢
$8.0K
40¢
$6.8K
35¢
$157
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$3
20¢
$9.1K
15¢
$50
10¢
$294
5¢
$8.2K
0¢
← now
$3.4K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$17.0K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—8 days ago
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$16.2K@ 53.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—8 days ago
BUYAthletics (NO)$100.0K@ 49.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—8 days ago
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$12.5K@ 52.0¢
coltsmildx0xeafc…e4c4
🐋—8 days ago
BUYTexas Rangers (YES)$30.3K@ 51.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—8 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.