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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote 3200 min ago
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $670.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$10.6K·4 wallets·$10.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$44.7K@ 67¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$33.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$33.6K
6h
+$14.0K
tracked
$433.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$10.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 155 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 3200 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 3206 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-21 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for August 13 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $144.6K gross
0x5268…135d3 linked markets · $47.7K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $17.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 75.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -65.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 72.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -61.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 74.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -64.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers2d ago
Outcome checks pending

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$33.6K
6h+$14.0K
24h+$28.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h46.2¢▲ above by 53.8pp
VWAP 7d46.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.8K
90¢
$221
85¢
$17.2K
80¢
$9.5K
75¢
$952
70¢
$9.4K
65¢
$83.8K
60¢
$9.0K
55¢
$12.7K
50¢
$342
45¢
$26.1K
40¢
$137.2K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$3.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$15.1K
15¢
$16.7K
10¢
$43.4K
5¢
$31.6K
0¢
$2.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$10.2K@ 80.0¢0x5268…135d🐋—2 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$11.4K@ 94.9¢0xe907…cff6🐋—2 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$20.0K@ 91.0¢0xd48a…6e90🐋—2 days ago
SELLLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$10.0K@ 87.0¢0x1de3…a1fa🐋—2 days ago
SELLLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$15.2K@ 87.0¢0xdcad…df78🐋—2 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$44.7K@ 67.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—2 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$37.2K@ 67.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—2 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (NO)$22.8K@ 57.0¢0xf958…db13🐋—2 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$17.6K@ 44.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—2 days ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$13.1K@ 43.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafMilwaukee Brewers$112.4K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·6 fills
0xf958…db13Los Angeles Dodgers$29.4K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·3 fills
0xd48a…6e90Los Angeles Dodgers$24.3K
BUY VWAP 81.5¢·2 fills
0x5268…135dLos Angeles Dodgers$19.7K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·3 fills
AV23IUaMilwaukee Brewers$17.6K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
0x5268…135dMilwaukee Brewers$16.8K
BUY VWAP 51.3¢·8 fills
0F62Los Angeles Dodgers$14.3K
BUY VWAP 78.9¢·3 fills
0xe907…cff6Los Angeles Dodgers$12.0K
BUY VWAP 94.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.