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Spread: Eagles (-4.5)

Sports→Closes: 10 daysLiquidity: $349.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $330.0KEvent: Commanders vs. Eagles
57.0¢
Eagles
99.9¢
Commanders
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCommanders$123.5K@ 46¢·Kch-Temp

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 10d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 10d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Commanders@ 47.0¢10d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Eagles; negative values favor Commanders. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEagles · $0
6hEagles · $2.8K
24hCommanders · $108.4K

Eagles price VWAP

Volume-weighted Eagles price. Commanders fills are converted to the complementary Eagles probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.0¢
VWAP 24h54.3¢▲ above by 2.7pp
VWAP 7d54.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$32
65¢
$2.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$2.5K
50¢
$140.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCommanders$123.5K@ 46.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—10 days ago
BUYEagles$10.2K@ 54.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.