Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner

● quote 553 min ago
SportsCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $337.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $790.9KEvent: Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly3Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$63.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 594 min agoofficial metadata 543 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBetBoom Team (NO)$20.0K@ 53¢·0xe16d…5e30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$64
6h
−$39.5K
tracked
$63.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$20.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 553 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 594 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 543 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between 1win and BetBoom Team in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 2 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $50.0K gross
0xde24…4ded2 linked markets · $18.1K gross
0xcf3a…fbfd2 linked markets · $14.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BetBoom Team@ 59.0¢12h ago
15m INVALIDATED -30.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $10$2.6K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$64
6h$39.5K
24h$39.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h71.5¢▲ above by 28.4pp
VWAP 7d71.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$5
75¢
$0
70¢
$6.4K
65¢
$525
60¢
$4.8K
55¢
$200
50¢
$0
45¢
$22.1K
40¢
$1.8K
35¢
$2.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBetBoom Team (NO)$20.0K@ 53.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30BetBoom Team$20.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.