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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote 8089 min ago
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $256.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $570.7KEvent: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets38Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $13.4K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$19.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Angels (NO)$16.3K@ 55¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$42.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$42.6K
6h
+$453
tracked
$231.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$13.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 133 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 8089 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 8102 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-18 01:38 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 10 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $79.2K gross
0x5268…135d2 linked markets · $53.0K gross
0xbca0…97053 linked markets · $3.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Angels@ 65.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$42.6K
6h+$453
24h+$453

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h60.0¢▲ above by 39.9pp
VWAP 7d60.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$35.6K
90¢
$21.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$325
65¢
$136
60¢
$21.4K
55¢
$16.8K
50¢
$18.9K
45¢
$55.3K
40¢
$44.0K
35¢
$17.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTexas Rangers (YES)$11.2K@ 99.9¢0xeafc…e4c4🐋—6 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels (NO)$16.3K@ 55.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels (NO)$14.4K@ 58.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—6 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Angels (NO)$11.4K@ 60.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5268…135dTexas Rangers$36.2K
BUY VWAP 52.5¢·14 fills
xifutloong3Los Angeles Angels$34.8K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·7 fills
0x5268…135dLos Angeles Angels$16.8K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·8 fills
0x2c33…0563Los Angeles Angels$16.3K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.