LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

● quote 548 min ago
SportsCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $791.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.6MEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly69Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:412 trades$106.4K trackedsource coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 581 min agoofficial metadata 546 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $20.0K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$21.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHANJIN BRION (YES)$19.0K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.2K
6h
−$46.7K
tracked
$106.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$20.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 548 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 581 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 546 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-05 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 5 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against HANJIN BRION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $41.3K gross
0x04b1…d2243 linked markets · $27.4K gross
0xf148…0b4f2 linked markets · $7.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nongshim Red Force@ 70.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $32.4K$32.3K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$2.2K
6h$46.7K
24h$71.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.6¢▲ above by 36.3pp
VWAP 7d63.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$35.7K
90¢
$119
85¢
$2.7K
80¢
$5.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$220
55¢
$6.3K
50¢
$9.5K
45¢
$12.6K
40¢
$13
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$29.8K
25¢
$2.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLHANJIN BRION (YES)$19.0K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 12 hours ago
BUYNongshim Red Force (NO)$16.4K@ 69.0¢0x000e…f7e9🐋about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x000e…f7e9Nongshim Red Force$16.4K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.