Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

● quote 3255 min ago
SportsCloses: 2 daysLiquidity: $338.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $749.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $20.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ (NO)$20.9K@ 68¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$18.0K
tracked
$45.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$20.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Only 0 tracked trades / 59 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 3255 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 3315 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-30 21:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between 3DMAX and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "3DMAX" if 3DMAX win Map 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against 3DMAX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $42.8K gross
0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $24.1K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $12.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY MOUZ2d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY MOUZ@ 44.0¢2d ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$18.0K
24h$18.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▲ above by 51.4pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$352
75¢
$520
70¢
$567
65¢
$2.6K
60¢
$122
55¢
$14.7K
50¢
$1.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$20.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMOUZ (NO)$20.9K@ 68.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGMOUZ$20.9K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.