LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: −$18.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
1 verified profitable wallet: −$1.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 53% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: +68.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Observed tape is 36 minutes old.
- •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
- •Executable BUY price moved 68.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.