Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels

● quote 39 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $511.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $437.8KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
57.5¢
YES
42.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection99Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$171.4K tracked16% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 47 min agoofficial metadata 40 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$60.4K@ 57¢·0xf668…5c69

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$169.8K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$169.8K
6h
+$169.8K
tracked
$171.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$32.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 70

Since latest whale follow through: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 39 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 47 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 40 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 01:38 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Angels, scheduled for August 1 at 9:38PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $747 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 58.0¢47m ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 58.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$169.8K
6h+$169.8K
24h+$169.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h55.3¢▲ above by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d55.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$94.3K
50¢
$77.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$60.4K@ 57.1¢0xf668…5c69🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$32.3K@ 55.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$56.8K@ 54.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$20.3K@ 54.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Milwaukee Brewers$77.1K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
0xf668…5c69Milwaukee Brewers$60.4K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafMilwaukee Brewers$32.3K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.