LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 163 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $328.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $356.7KEvent: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:141 trades$36.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 228 min agoofficial metadata 164 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGIANTX (YES)$20.0K@ 87¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$17.5K
tracked
$36.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$1.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 163 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 228 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 164 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 2 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 2 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2518…254f2 linked markets · $4.5K gross
0xa759…11192 linked markets · $3.7K gross
0x10ef…7d7b2 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.4pp · near-book depth $368$283 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$17.5K
24h+$17.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h85.2¢▲ above by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d85.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$503
90¢
$3.3K
85¢
$23.7K
80¢
$1.9K
75¢
$5.9K
70¢
$573
65¢
$195
60¢
$0
55¢
$100
50¢
$68
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYGIANTX (YES)$20.0K@ 87.0¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$811.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.4¢$811.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
0.1¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Urbina vs. Vlasto Cepo (Middleweight, Prelims)
100.0¢$380.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner
44.0¢$347.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
0.1¢$230.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

five5120GIANTX$20.0K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.