LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 162 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $260.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $811.7KEvent: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly44Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:126 trades$58.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 213 min agoofficial metadata 164 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$43.5K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$43.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSK Gaming (NO)$43.5K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$754

+$42.5K

tracked

$58.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$43.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 162 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 213 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 164 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-01 19:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 1 against SK Gaming. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 1 against GIANTX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x2518…254f2 linked markets · $4.5K gross

0xa759…11192 linked markets · $3.7K gross

0x10ef…7d7b2 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: YES UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $2 → $11 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$754

6h+$42.5K

24h+$42.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h5.2¢▼ below by 5.1pp

VWAP 7d5.2¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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55¢