Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners

● quote 1055 min ago
SportsCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $725.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $614.6KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets92Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:199 trades$19.1K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1063 min agoofficial metadata 1055 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $2.5K·4 wallets·$2.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSeattle Mariners (NO)$9.0K@ 72¢·0x0210…4deb

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$3.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.2K
6h
+$5.4K
tracked
$19.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$2.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 1055 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1063 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 1055 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-08 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for July 31 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 18h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 18h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $44.3K gross
0xbca0…97052 linked markets · $100 gross
0x4d04…8d702 linked markets · $98 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $40$63 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$3.2K
6h+$5.4K
24h+$5.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h46.8¢▲ above by 53.1pp
VWAP 7d46.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$207
90¢
$1.0K
85¢
$998
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$93
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$613
40¢
$24
35¢
$138
30¢
$63
25¢
$11.1K
20¢
$573
15¢
$40
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
40.5¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
74.5¢$921.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$870.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
11.5¢$721.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner
63.5¢$512.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
57.5¢$499.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$388.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
80.5¢$363.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.