Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova

● quote 197 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $441.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikova
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets83Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 40%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:315 trades$102.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 45%
tape 199 min agoofficial metadata 199 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$7.2K·3 wallets·$8.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBarbora Krejcikova (NO)$10.7K@ 84¢·0xff81…44c9

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$4.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.6K
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$102.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$7.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 40% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • BUY/SELL is known for 45% of tracked volume.
  • Executable quote is 197 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 199 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lilli Tagger and Barbora Krejcikova in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lilli Tagger' if Lilli Tagger advances against Barbora Krejcikova. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Krejcikova' if Barbora Krejcikova advances against Lilli Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 20.5pp · near-book depth $5$61 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$4.6K
6h+$3.4K
24h+$3.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h36.4¢▲ above by 63.5pp
VWAP 7d36.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.4K
90¢
$1.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$897
75¢
$158
70¢
$122
65¢
$2.7K
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$1.5K
50¢
$338
45¢
$1.4K
40¢
$6.8K
35¢
$747
30¢
$6.8K
25¢
$622
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$10.7K
10¢
$6.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBarbora Krejcikova (NO)$10.7K@ 84.0¢0xff81…44c9🐋about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xff81…44c9Barbora Krejcikova$10.7K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.