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Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintseva

● quote 4596 min ago
Geopolitics→Closes: 3 daysLiquidity: $226.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $852.7KEvent: Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Yulia Putintseva
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYulia Putintseva (NO)$26.6K@ 57¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$3.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.0K
6h
−$20.6K
tracked
$45.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$523 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 91 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 4596 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 4602 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-30 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Avanesyan and Yulia Putintseva in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Avanesyan' if Elina Avanesyan advances against Yulia Putintseva. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Putintseva' if Yulia Putintseva advances against Elina Avanesyan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$3.0K
6h−$20.6K
24h−$20.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h49.0¢▲ above by 50.9pp
VWAP 7d49.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$318
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.8K
80¢
$850
75¢
$17
70¢
$1
65¢
$0
60¢
$51
55¢
$543
50¢
$978
45¢
$8.8K
40¢
$27.7K
35¢
$43
30¢
$603
25¢
$100
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYYulia Putintseva (NO)$26.6K@ 56.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Yulia Putintseva$26.6K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.