Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 1025 min ago
SportsCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:379 trades$59.6K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 96%
tape 1048 min agoofficial metadata 1022 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$16.5K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$16.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Angels (YES)$13.6K@ 41¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$1.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7K
6h
−$25.5K
tracked
$59.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$16.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 1025 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1048 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 1022 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-01 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 24 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $6.5K gross
0x61f6…e4972 linked markets · $88 gross
swisstony3 linked markets · $64 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $7.2K$667 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$1.7K
6h$25.5K
24h$11.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h40.5¢▼ below by 39.5pp
VWAP 7d40.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$6.0K
50¢
$568
45¢
$11.5K
40¢
$30.0K
35¢
$490
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$1.9K
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$570
10¢
$148
5¢
$2.4K
0¢
← now
$609

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Angels (YES)$13.6K@ 41.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafLos Angeles Angels$13.6K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.