LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

● quote 427 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $691.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

0.1¢

YES

99.9¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:70 trades$204.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 510 min agoofficial metadata 427 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$35.3K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$35.3K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDplus KIA (NO)$109.9K@ 100¢·patient12

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$184.2K

tracked

$204.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$35.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 427 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 510 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 427 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders paused

Deadline

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and Dplus KIA in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes

RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago

TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x4873…15ba2 linked markets · $5.3K gross

0xf377…41592 linked markets · $1.5K gross

0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $669 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$0

6h+$184.2K

24h+$184.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h11.8¢▼ below by 11.7pp

VWAP 7d11.8¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

$35.3K